GEO Group vs Rollins
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KIRA’s take AI analyst
I put GEO Group and Rollins side by side, using each one’s latest annual report. Here is what stands out:
- Rollins is the larger business, with $3.8B of revenue in fiscal 2025 against $2.6B for GEO Group.
- Rollins grew revenue faster (11.0%, against 8.6%).
- Rollins kept more of each dollar of sales as operating profit (19.3% operating margin, against 9.8%).
- Rollins turned more of its sales into free cash flow (17.3% FCF margin, against −4.8%).
- Rollins earned a higher return on the capital invested in it (31.0%, against 6.3%).
- Investors pay more for each dollar of Rollins’s earnings: a P/E of 31.7x against 12.9x for GEO Group.
Who comes out ahead
Of the 10 measures where higher (or lower) is clearly better, how many each company leads.
GEO Group
GEO
0/10
Rollins
ROL
9/10
Revenue growth5-year growthOperating marginNet marginFCF marginReturn on capitalReturn on equityNet debt / EBITDAShare count change
Side by side
Best in the row
| Latest fiscal year | GEO FY25 | ROL FY25 |
|---|---|---|
| Size | ||
| Market cap | $3.6B | $16.5B |
| Revenue | $2.6B | $3.8B |
| Free cash flow | −$125M | $650M |
| Net income | $254M | $527M |
| Growth | ||
| Revenue growth | 8.6% | 11.0% |
| 5-year growth | 2.3% | 11.7% |
| Share count change | 4.2% | −0.0% |
| Profitability | ||
| Gross margin | — | — |
| Operating margin | 9.8% | 19.3% |
| Net margin | 9.7% | 14.0% |
| FCF margin | −4.8% | 17.3% |
| Return on capital | 6.3% | 31.0% |
| Return on equity | 17.9% | 38.9% |
| Balance sheet | ||
| Net debt | $1.6B | $510M |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 4.1x | 0.6x |
| Dividends and buybacks | $91.0M | $545M |
| Valuation & quality | ||
| P/E | 12.9x | 31.7x |
| Piotroski F-score | 6 | 6 |
Ten years
Revenue
FY16
GEO $2.2B
ROL $1.6B
FY17
GEO $2.3B
ROL $1.7B
FY18
GEO $2.3B
ROL $1.8B
FY19
GEO $2.5B
ROL $2.0B
FY20
GEO $2.4B
ROL $2.2B
FY21
GEO $2.3B
ROL $2.4B
FY22
GEO $2.4B
ROL $2.7B
FY23
GEO $2.4B
ROL $3.1B
FY24
GEO $2.4B
ROL $3.4B
FY25
GEO $2.6B
ROL $3.8B
GEO
ROL
Operating margin
FY16
GEO 12.2%
ROL —
FY17
GEO 11.0%
ROL —
FY18
GEO 11.4%
ROL —
FY19
GEO 12.2%
ROL 15.8%
FY20
GEO 9.8%
ROL 17.4%
FY21
GEO 12.8%
ROL 18.5%
FY22
GEO 16.2%
ROL 18.3%
FY23
GEO 14.6%
ROL 19.0%
FY24
GEO 12.8%
ROL 19.4%
FY25
GEO 9.8%
ROL 19.3%
GEO
ROL
Free cash flow
FY16
GEO −$110M
ROL $193M
FY17
GEO $233M
ROL $211M
FY18
GEO $78.8M
ROL $272M
FY19
GEO $221M
ROL $292M
FY20
GEO $333M
ROL $413M
FY21
GEO $213M
ROL $375M
FY22
GEO $198M
ROL $435M
FY23
GEO $205M
ROL $496M
FY24
GEO $164M
ROL $580M
FY25
GEO −$125M
ROL $650M
GEO
ROL
Return on capital
FY16
GEO 7.8%
ROL 41.1%
FY17
GEO 6.2%
ROL 36.8%
FY18
GEO 6.4%
ROL 40.5%
FY19
GEO 7.3%
ROL 30.4%
FY20
GEO 5.3%
ROL 26.4%
FY21
GEO 4.1%
ROL 29.7%
FY22
GEO 8.5%
ROL 30.5%
FY23
GEO 8.5%
ROL 31.3%
FY24
GEO 7.8%
ROL 30.6%
FY25
GEO 6.3%
ROL 31.0%
GEO
ROL
Each company's latest fiscal year; fiscal years end in different months. The best value in each row is highlighted where higher (or lower) is clearly better. Not investment advice.