Grocery Outlet
GO Nasdaq Food Retail Financials FY2017βFY2025
Grocery Outlet's revenue rose 7.3% to $4.7 billion in fiscal 2025. Its operating margin was β4.7%, down from 1.8% a year earlier. Free cash flow was $24 million. The diluted share count fell 1.6%.
About these figures. Grocery Outlet's fiscal 2025 operating loss made its EBITDA negative, so net debt to EBITDA is blank for that year.
What Grocery Outlet does
No business description yet.
- Legal name
- Grocery Outlet Holding Corp.
- Fiscal year ends
- January 3, 2026
- Latest annual report
- β
- Accession Β· CIK
- 0001771515-26-000015
0001771515
Revenue and margins
Grocery Outlet had $4.7B of revenue in fiscal 2025, up 7.3% on the year before.
Net income and earnings per share
Loss periods are shown in red.
Returns on capital
After-tax operating income as a share of the money invested in the business: debt plus equity, minus cash.
Cash flow
Free cash flow was $23.8M in fiscal 2025, 0.5% of revenue. Cash from operations minus capital spending.
Dividends, buybacks and share count
Grocery Outlet returned $0.0M to shareholders in fiscal 2025, 0% of free cash flow. The diluted share count fell 1.6%.
Value Grocery Outlet yourself
Change the assumptions and see what they imply per share. These are models, not forecasts or price targets β the answer depends entirely on what you put in.
Discounted cash flow
Value per share
β
Adds net cash of β$426M and divides by 98.0M diluted shares. Ten years of cash flows plus a terminal value, discounted to today.
Balance sheet
Cash, debt and the ratios that show how comfortably Grocery Outlet can carry it.
| Fiscal year end | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cash and short-term investments | $140M | $103M | $115M | $62.8M | $69.6M |
| Debt incl. finance leases | $467M | $385M | $299M | $482M | $496M |
| Net debt / EBITDA | 2.1x | 1.6x | 0.9x | 2.2x | β |
| Debt / equity | 0.5x | 0.4x | 0.3x | 0.4x | 0.5x |
| Interest coverage | 6.1x | 5.0x | 5.5x | 3.0x | β6.8x |
| Current ratio | 1.9x | 1.7x | 1.4x | 1.4x | 1.4x |
| Quick ratio | 0.7x | 0.5x | 0.4x | 0.3x | 0.3x |
| Total assets | $2.7B | $2.8B | $3.0B | $3.2B | $3.1B |
| Total liabilities | $1.7B | $1.7B | $1.8B | $2.0B | $2.1B |
| Shareholders' equity | $1.0B | $1.1B | $1.2B | $1.2B | $984M |
| Net debt (β = net cash) | $327M | $283M | $184M | $419M | $426M |
Insider trades
Open-market purchases and sales by officers, directors and 10% owners, from Form 4 filings. 'Plan' marks trades under a pre-arranged Rule 10b5-1 plan.
Bought, 12 months
$4.2M
4 insiders
Sold, 12 months
$0.0M
2 insiders
Of sales under plans
44%
$0.0M
| Date | Insider | Trade | Shares | Price | Value | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 27, 2026 | Carey F. JarosDirector | Bought | 15,000 | $11.70 | $0.2M | Form 4 |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Frank Michael KerrSee Remarks | Sold | 1,432 | $11.30 | $0.0M | Form 4 |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Paul Blaine MillerSee Remarks | Bought | 8,000 | $10.90 | $0.1M | Form 4 |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Paul Blaine MillerSee Remarks | Bought | 5,000 | $9.50 | $0.0M | Form 4 |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Paul Blaine MillerSee Remarks | Bought | 10,000 | $9.37 | $0.1M | Form 4 |
| Apr 1, 2026 | Andrea Renee BortnerSee Remarks | Sold plan | 1,851 | $7.00 | $0.0M | Form 4 |
| Mar 27, 2026 | Erik D. RagatzDirector | Bought | 125,000 | $7.06 | $0.9M | Form 4 |
| Mar 24, 2026 | Jason J. N. PotterPresident and CEO, Director | Bought | 2,556 | $6.68 | $0.0M | Form 4 |
| Mar 23, 2026 | Jason J. N. PotterPresident and CEO, Director | Bought | 110,252 | $6.35 | $0.7M | Form 4 |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Erik D. RagatzDirector | Bought | 50,000 | $5.75 | $0.3M | Form 4 |
| Mar 19, 2026 | Jason J. N. PotterPresident and CEO, Director | Bought | 286,097 | $5.90 | $1.7M | Form 4 |
| Mar 18, 2026 | Erik D. RagatzDirector | Bought | 33,997 | $5.85 | $0.2M | Form 4 |
Piotroski F-score
Nine pass/fail tests of profitability, funding and efficiency. 8β9 is strong, 0β2 weak.
| Test | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Net income is positive | β | β | β |
| Cash from operations is positive | β | β | β |
| Return on assets rose | β | β | β |
| Cash from operations exceeds net income | β | β | β |
| Debt fell relative to assets | β | β | β |
| Current ratio rose | β | β | β |
| Share count didn't rise | β | β | β |
| Gross margin rose | β | β | β |
| Revenue rose relative to assets | β | β | β |
| F-score | 7 / 9 | 6 / 9 | 5 / 9 |
| Accruals ratio | β7.8% | β2.4% | β14.3% |
| Altman Z'' | 1.68 | 1.51 | 0.46 |
Similar companies
Each company's latest fiscal year. Fiscal years end in different months, so periods don't line up exactly.
| Company | Market cap | Growth | Op. margin | FCF margin | ROIC | P/E | F-score | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grocery Outlet GO | $1.3B | 7.3% | β4.7% | 0.5% | β11.6% | β | 5 | |
| Maplebear CART | $14.0B | 10.8% | 13.3% | 24.3% | 22.5% | 30.8x | 6 | Compare β |
| Sprouts Farmers Market SFM | $6.3B | 14.1% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 46.9% | 12.7x | 7 | Compare β |
| Casey's CASY | $25.9B | 10.2% | β | 4.1% | 13.6% | 33.7x | 7 | Compare β |
| United Natural Foods UNFI | $2.9B | β2.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 5.3% | β | 6 | Compare β |
9 years of figures
US$ millions unless stated. Hover a ratio's name for its definition.
| Fiscal year | FY17 | FY18 | FY19 | FY20 | FY21 | FY22 | FY23 | FY24 | FY25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Income statement | |||||||||
| Revenue | $2.1B | $2.3B | $2.6B | $3.1B | $3.1B | $3.6B | $4.0B | $4.4B | $4.7B |
| Gross profit | $632M | $695M | $787M | $973M | $949M | $1.1B | $1.2B | $1.3B | $1.4B |
| Operating income | $76.9M | $82.5M | $68.3M | $107M | $89.1M | $95.0M | $126M | $78.3M | β$222M |
| Interest expense | $45.8M | $47.3M | $49.4M | $20.3M | $14.6M | $19.1M | $22.7M | $26.2M | $32.8M |
| Pretax income | $25.8M | $21.9M | $16.8M | $87.1M | $77.5M | $75.7M | $104M | $56.2M | β$249M |
| Income tax | $5.2M | $6.0M | $1.4M | β$19.6M | $15.2M | $10.7M | $24.6M | $16.7M | β$24.3M |
| Net income | $20.6M | $15.9M | $15.4M | $107M | $62.3M | $65.1M | $79.4M | $39.5M | β$225M |
| Diluted EPS | $0.30 | $0.23 | $0.19 | $1.08 | $0.63 | $0.65 | $0.79 | $0.40 | β$2.30 |
| Diluted shares | 0.07B | 0.07B | 0.08B | 0.10B | 0.10B | 0.10B | 0.10B | 0.10B | 0.10B |
| Cash flow | |||||||||
| Cash from operations | $84.7M | $106M | $133M | $181M | $166M | $186M | $303M | $112M | $222M |
| Capital expenditure | $71.1M | $64.8M | $97.2M | $125M | $123M | $131M | $169M | $187M | $198M |
| Free cash flow | $13.6M | $41.1M | $35.6M | $56.3M | $42.2M | $55.0M | $134M | β$74.7M | $23.8M |
| Depreciation and amortization | $43.2M | $45.4M | $47.9M | $55.5M | $68.4M | $78.3M | $88.0M | $108M | $129M |
| Stock-based compensation | $1.7M | $10.4M | $31.4M | $38.1M | $17.6M | $32.6M | $31.1M | $10.5M | $10.5M |
| Acquisitions | $0.0M | $0.0M | $0.0M | $0.0M | $0.0M | $0.0M | $0.0M | $60.5M | $0.0M |
| Share buybacks | $0.0M | $0.0M | $0.0M | $0.0M | $0.0M | $3.5M | $5.9M | $81.4M | $0.0M |
| Dividends paid | $1.3M | $154M | $3.6M | $0.4M | $0.2M | $0.1M | $0.0M | $0.0M | $0.0M |
| Dividends and buybacks | $1.3M | $154M | $3.7M | $0.4M | $0.2M | $3.6M | $5.9M | $81.4M | $0.0M |
| Balance sheet | |||||||||
| Cash and short-term investments | $5.8M | $21.1M | $28.1M | $105M | $140M | $103M | $115M | $62.8M | $69.6M |
| Total debt | β | $857M | $460M | $460M | $460M | $380M | $293M | $478M | $493M |
| Finance lease liabilities | $0.0M | $0.0M | $6.0M | $6.1M | $6.9M | $5.7M | $6.2M | $3.9M | $2.8M |
| Current assets | β | $240M | $271M | $382M | $443M | $467M | $517M | $504M | $498M |
| Current liabilities | β | $151M | $209M | $233M | $238M | $281M | $384M | $350M | $364M |
| Inventory | $0.0M | $198M | $219M | $245M | $276M | $334M | $350M | $394M | $382M |
| Property and equipment, net | β | $304M | $357M | $434M | $499M | $561M | $643M | $750M | $743M |
| Total assets | β | $1.4B | $2.2B | $2.5B | $2.7B | $2.8B | $3.0B | $3.2B | $3.1B |
| Total liabilities | β | $1.1B | $1.4B | $1.6B | $1.7B | $1.7B | $1.8B | $2.0B | $2.1B |
| Shareholders' equity | $427M | $300M | $745M | $922M | $1.0B | $1.1B | $1.2B | $1.2B | $984M |
| Margins | |||||||||
| Gross margin | 30.5% | 30.4% | 30.8% | 31.1% | 30.8% | 30.5% | 31.3% | 30.2% | 30.3% |
| Operating margin | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | β4.7% |
| EBITDA margin | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | β2.0% |
| Net margin | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | β4.8% |
| FCF margin | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 3.4% | β1.7% | 0.5% |
| Returns | |||||||||
| Return on capital | β | β | 5.4% | 8.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 3.7% | β11.6% |
| Return on capital employed | β | β | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.9% | β8.0% |
| Return on equity | β | β | 3.0% | 12.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 3.3% | β20.6% |
| Return on assets | β | β | 0.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | β7.2% |
| Growth | |||||||||
| Revenue growth | β | 10.2% | 11.9% | 22.5% | β1.8% | 16.2% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 7.3% |
| Net income growth | β | β23.0% | β2.8% | 592.1% | β41.6% | 4.4% | 22.1% | β50.3% | β669.9% |
| EPS growth | β | β23.3% | β17.4% | 468.4% | β41.7% | 3.2% | 21.5% | β49.4% | β675.0% |
| FCF growth | β | 201.0% | β13.2% | 58.0% | β25.1% | 30.4% | 144.3% | β155.5% | β |
| Share count change | β | 0.3% | 19.4% | 20.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | β1.2% | β1.6% |
| Financial health | |||||||||
| Net debt / EBITDA | β | 6.5x | 3.8x | 2.2x | 2.1x | 1.6x | 0.9x | 2.2x | β |
| Debt / equity | β | 2.9x | 0.6x | 0.5x | 0.5x | 0.4x | 0.3x | 0.4x | 0.5x |
| Interest coverage | 1.7x | 1.7x | 1.4x | 5.3x | 6.1x | 5.0x | 5.5x | 3.0x | β6.8x |
| Current ratio | β | 1.6x | 1.3x | 1.6x | 1.9x | 1.7x | 1.4x | 1.4x | 1.4x |
| Quick ratio | β | 0.3x | 0.3x | 0.6x | 0.7x | 0.5x | 0.4x | 0.3x | 0.3x |
| Capital allocation | |||||||||
| Capex / revenue | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% |
| Stock comp / revenue | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Payouts / FCF | 9.6% | 374.2% | 10.2% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 6.5% | 4.4% | β | 0.0% |
| Quality scores | |||||||||
| Piotroski F-score | β | β | β | 7.0 | 5.0 | 5.0 | 7.0 | 6.0 | 5.0 |
| Altman Z'' | β | 1.2 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.5 | 0.5 |
| Accruals ratio | β | β | β6.6% | β3.2% | β4.0% | β4.4% | β7.8% | β2.4% | β14.3% |
Source: SEC EDGAR XBRL filings (CIK 0001771515). Data updated October 11, 2026. Quarterly fourth quarters are the full year minus the first nine months. For information only β not investment advice. Check the original filings before relying on any figure.