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Intel beats Q3 estimates, but Q4 outlook exposes PC and supply strain

Intel’s Q3 revenue rose 21% and data-center sales surged, yet its $15–16 billion Q4 forecast lagged consensus as PC weakness and a temporary Kiryat Gat disruption cloud the turnaround.

Stoqly Newsroom

Intel’s third-quarter revenue rose 21% year over year to $16.5 billion, while GAAP diluted EPS was $0.60 and non-GAAP EPS was $0.52. Revenue, gross margin and EPS exceeded the company’s own guidance, according to management.

The mix was sharply uneven. Client Computing and Physical AI revenue fell 5% to $8.1 billion, while Data Center and AI revenue jumped 78% to $7.3 billion. Intel Foundry revenue increased 58% to $6.7 billion; the company said DCAI posted its strongest growth in 15 years.

Profitability improved against the prior-year quarter: GAAP gross margin rose to 43.0% from 38.2%, operating margin to 15.3% from 5.0%, and GAAP net income was $3.3 billion, versus $4.1 billion a year earlier. GAAP EPS nevertheless declined from $0.90 to $0.60, while non-GAAP EPS increased from $0.23 to $0.52.

Intel generated $5.1 billion of operating cash flow in the quarter. Its third-quarter filing reported $21.846 billion in cash and cash equivalents and $50.134 billion in total debt at September 26; cash plus short-term investments totaled $54.005 billion. Operating cash flow for the first nine months was $13.184 billion, up from $5.409 billion in the comparable 2025 period.

The company also said an October incident at its Kiryat Gat site had temporarily disrupted production. Reuters reported that Intel expected roughly $300 million of fourth-quarter revenue impact and a similar effect in the first quarter of 2027, with about 200 basis points of pressure on fourth-quarter gross margin. The company’s reported priorities are restoring supply, especially for Xeon, and funding capacity and working capital while maintaining an investment-grade balance sheet.

Original editorial illustration of an Intel chip wafer, supply warning and fourth-quarter revenue outlook.
Intel’s Q3 growth was led by data-center demand, while the Q4 outlook points to supply and PC headwinds.Original Stoqly illustration; not documentary photography.

Revenue

$16.5B

↑ +21% year over year

DCAI revenue

$7.3B

↑ +78% year over year

Q4 revenue guide

$15–16B

↓ vs $17.07B consensus

Sources

  1. Intel Q3 2026 earnings release, October 29, 2026
  2. Intel Form 10-Q for quarter ended September 26, 2026
  3. Reuters report on Intel Q4 outlook and production disruption
  4. Reuters report on Intel Q3 consensus comparison

This story describes figures the company has published. It is for information only and is not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any security. Check the original filings before relying on any figure. Stoqly is not affiliated with the SEC.

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